Declaration of Professor of Mathematics, Steven J Miller, Ph.D.

Declaration of Professor of Mathematics, Steven J Miller, Ph.D.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The analysis was performed on a data set provided by Matt Braynard and his firm, Election Data Services.

• Estimate of ballots requested in the name of a registered Republican by someone other than that person: 40,875 to 53,909.

• Estimate of Republican ballots that the requester returned but were not counted: 48,522 to 44,892 (these go in the opposite order as the previous: if more of the ballots are requested by someone other than the registered voter, that means there are fewer ballots left that we estimate were incorrectly returned.).

Thus I estimate that the number of ballots that were either requested by someone other than the registered Republican or requested and returned but not counted range from 89,397 to 98,801.

Doing a more detailed analysis with confidence intervals, I estimate that almost surely (based on the data I received) that the number of ballots requested by someone other than the registered Republican is between 37,001 and 58,914, and almost surely the number of ballots requested by registered Republicans and returned but not counted is in the range from 38,910 to 56,483.

SOURCE:

In sworn statement, prominent mathematician flags up to 100,000 Pennsylvania ballots
By Daniel Payne and John Solomon
Just the News
November 19, 2020

NOTE:

Joe Biden 3,456,632 votes
Donald Trump 3,375,636
(as of November 20, 2020)

Margin: 80,996 votes

SOURCE: POLITICO